The week looks set to start and end on a showery note. For England and Wales heavy, slow-moving showers and thunderstorms will give some decent amounts of rainfall – across northern England, following the weekends rain there could be some localised flooding.
Southeast England will again have a brisk wind. Northern Ireland may have fewer showers, but it will be a rather cloudy day and Scotland will have more showers than we saw over the weekend.
Tuesday will bring little respite from the heavy slow moving showers, at least not across the eastern half of the UK. However western areas will have a quieter, drier day with a bit more brightness and sunshine.
By Wednesday morning however a new area of low pressure will arrive on the scene to bring more rain into Northern Ireland, Wales and western England. This will spread to all but northern Scotland during daylight, accompanied by brisk winds, especially in the south. The rain looks very heavy in southern areas.
As the rain clear on Thursday the pattern reverts back to sunny spells and showers, there will always be the risk that these will turn heavy and thundery given the energy in the July sunshine. The showery theme will then continue through Friday and the weekend when the heaviest showers are most likely over England and Wales.
As a result of the showers rainfall is expected to be around average but probably above in England and Wales.
With light winds and in the sunshine it will feel like July and temperatures should at least reach around average, but it will often feel cool in the rain.